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ATLANTIC|https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/2026/02/trump-gop-republican-midterm-elections/686116
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中情局预判伊朗政权更迭风险：哈梅内伊身亡后强硬派仍可能掌权
REUTERS|https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/prior-iran-attacks-cia-assessed-khamenei-would-be-replaced-by-hardline-irgc-2026-02-28
特朗普获告知打击伊朗高风险高回报
REUTERS|https://www.reuters.com/world/us/ahead-strikes-trump-told-iran-attack-was-high-risk-high-reward-2026-02-28