播客 006 | 迈克・约翰逊都能当议长了,他行吗? The Ascension of Mike Johnson

播客 006 | 迈克・约翰逊都能当议长了,他行吗? The Ascension of Mike Johnson

【聊了什么】

共和党选出了新议长:迈克・约翰逊。迈克・约翰逊是谁?他为什么能当上议长?他当议长面临什么样的挑战?他会怎样面对?这期播客我们从选议长一路讨论到了怎么当议长。

【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去:

众筹平台链接:www.patreon.com/americanroulette

合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com

【时间轴】

01:05 回顾第一轮推选议长的过程(兼对上上次播客里的预测的回顾)

03:08 乔丹是怎么输的

08:26 第二轮选举,约翰逊怎么赢的

11:11 约翰逊的资历和他胜选和关系

18:11 约翰逊曾担任主席的学习委员会是怎么回事

23:22 当议长需要什么技能和人脉

28:23 临时拨款协议对约翰逊的挑战

30:49 约翰逊如何解决党内关于堕胎的矛盾

40:43 约翰逊会如何解决两党关于军援/边境安全的拨款问题

44:58 麦康奈尔、拜登、和共和党保守派在外交问题上的矛盾

49:00 议长最重要的权力:议程设置

50:54 约翰逊的蜜月期会有多长

52:18 约翰逊的个人形像对共和党的选情有多重要

55:50 特朗普为什么可以频频踩福音派的红线还不受惩罚

01:00:34 接下来两周的看点

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

美轮美换的前身是“选·美 iAmElection”,一档由游天龙、talich、林垚、庄巧祎等人于2015年创立的中文播客,选·美聚集了一群关心美国政治的学者、律师、媒体人、观察者和爱好者,在2016年大选前后吸引了大量的听众和读者,成为一档现象级的播客。2020年大选前,talich等人重新推出了“美轮美换”,更新了16集。2023年,新一轮美国大选即将开始,我们决定将选·美和美轮美换的传统延续下去,推出新版的“美轮美换”播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾:

Talich:美国政治/文化历史爱好者

王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子

寄馀生:比较政治爱好者

本期节目由Talich制作,封面设计来自欢祺,本期的音频编辑是Talich。 美轮美换是一档由百花传媒出品的播客。

【 What We Talked About】

If the ascension of Mike Johnson to the office of speaker of the House proves one thing, it’s that “keeping a low profile and biding your time” actually works. So who is Mike Johnson? What challenges does he face as the new speaker? How would he go about it? In this episode, we talk about the ins and outs of what it takes to become speaker of the House.

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com

【Timeline】 01:05 Overview of what happened in the previous rounds of selection (and to see how right or wrong our predictions in the previous episode turned out to be)

03:08 How Ohio Rep. Jim Jordan lost

08:26 How did Johnson win the second round of the election?

11:11 Johnson’s credentials, his electoral success and connections

18:11 What happened to the Republican Study Committee Johnson once chaired?

23:22 What skills and connections are needed to be the speaker?

28:23 One of Johnson’s first tests as speaker: Continuing Resolution(CR)

30:49 How will Johnson resolve the conflict within the Republican party over abortion policy?

40:43 How would Johnson resolve the bipartisan funding issue for military aid/border security?

44:58 Conflicts between McConnell, Biden, and Republican conservatives on foreign affairs issues

49:00 The speaker’s most important power: agenda setting

50:54 How long will Johnson’s “honeymoon phase” be?

52:18 How important is Johnson’s personal branding to GOP’s upcoming elections?

55:50 Why Trump can repeatedly cross Evangelical’s red lines with impunity

01:00:34 What to watch for in the next two weeks

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

The American Roulette’s predecessor is “iAmElection”, a Chinese-language podcast created by Tianlong You, Talich, Yao Lin, and Qiaoy Zhuangi in 2015. The podcast brought together a group of scholars, lawyers, media veterans, observers and enthusiasts who care about American politics. At the height of its popularity, it was featured in the New York Times, and attracted an estimated 70,000 audience who listened each month. For the 2020 election, Talich and others relaunched the podcast as "美轮美换" with 16 new episodes.

In 2023, as the new round of U.S. presidential election is about to begin, we’re building on the legacy of “iAmElection” and “美轮美换” to launch a new podcast that we hope will become your go-to American Politics podcast. We introduce: “美轮美换 The American Roulette.”

Our Hosts and Guests:

Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast

王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information

寄馀生(Ji Yusheng): Comparative politics enthusiast

This episode is produced by Talich, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor for this episode is Talich. American Roulette is a part of Baihua Media.


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评论 | 反思查理·柯克遇刺案最好的办法,就是认清美国政治极化的真相

本文作者黄希林,转载自微信公众号思观堂。文章不代表美轮美换观点。 9 月 10 日,在犹他谷大学举行的「美国复兴之旅」活动中,「美国转折点」创始人,特朗普的政治盟友查理·柯克(Charlie Kirk)在与观众就枪支暴力和大规模枪击事件的影响进行辩论时遭枪击身亡。在最初的混乱局面和大规模搜捕之后,两天后,当局宣布逮捕了来自犹他州圣乔治的 22 岁白人男子泰勒·罗宾逊(Tyler Robinson),此前他已向朋友和家人坦白杀害了柯克。 柯克的遇害引发了美国各界的震惊、哀悼以及对政治动荡的讨论。在罕见而短暂的一刻,许多政客、记者和政治评论员共同谴责了这起谋杀案,并呼吁缓和敌对情绪,但很快这种声音就被极端言论所淹没,这些言论声称在罗宾逊被确认并逮捕之前,「民主党人」或「左派」就是这起谋杀案的罪魁祸首,还呼吁“开战”和报复。 作为一位对美国的整体生态和舆论的影响举足轻重的政治玩家,柯克的世界观如何能够在主流舆论中游刃有余是美国这个国家的政治体制的直接产物。水能载舟,亦能覆舟;这个体系既能让他声名鹊起,也能让他命丧黄泉。如果想要真正理解这起刺杀案的真实背景和潜在后果,我们必须要重新审视查

By 美轮美换